Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.476204 0.609412 0.753380 0.918593 1.101170 1.295213 1.515549
2025-03-30 0.278113 0.451362 0.659177 0.916957 1.219930 1.558006 1.957688
2025-04-06 0.172825 0.352403 0.588224 0.898310 1.278192 1.715106 2.243910
2025-04-13 0.122893 0.310467 0.576605 0.942360 1.403665 1.944994 2.610072
2025-04-20 0.088649 0.279733 0.571461 0.987803 1.525339 2.165999 2.962044
2025-04-27 0.065268 0.258647 0.574761 1.040594 1.653502 2.392937 3.319691
2025-05-04 0.054065 0.256141 0.603138 1.125542 1.821285 2.667100 3.732876
2025-05-11 0.039187 0.239885 0.607493 1.175581 1.943114 2.884514 4.078026
2025-05-18 0.022775 0.210350 0.586332 1.187000 2.012912 3.036696 4.344048
2025-05-25 0.006133 0.158331 0.518901 1.126371 1.984028 3.063740 4.456838
2025-06-01 0.000090 0.113104 0.452725 1.060756 1.943662 3.072875 4.544962
2025-06-08 NaN 0.086358 0.414857 1.033841 1.952653 3.141937 4.704248
2025-06-15 NaN 0.074572 0.408299 1.059098 2.038753 3.316243 5.002305
2025-06-22 NaN 0.058831 0.388505 1.061665 2.093236 3.450953 5.253282
2025-06-29 NaN 0.041242 0.356578 1.040325 2.111292 3.536534 5.441387
2025-07-06 NaN 0.038253 0.365052 1.088218 2.228955 3.752370 5.792771
2025-07-13 NaN 0.035741 0.374222 1.137112 2.348026 3.970118 6.146707
2025-07-20 NaN 0.034689 0.387867 1.193950 2.478795 4.203445 6.520504
2025-07-27 NaN 0.039005 0.420493 1.285163 2.660217 4.503879 6.979156
2025-08-03 NaN 0.037452 0.432278 1.338795 2.786564 4.731760 7.346622
2025-08-10 NaN 0.030226 0.421572 1.351022 2.851690 4.878588 7.611867
2025-08-17 NaN 0.015641 0.370868 1.286054 2.800458 4.869724 7.679311
2025-08-24 NaN 0.005642 0.320408 1.215617 2.737579 4.842955 7.722131